Crude oil hit the second-all-time highest price $130 in history on 3/1/2022. Fundamentally, the Russian and Ukrainian War that broke out at the end of January 2022 was the primary cause of the Oil market crash and directly reflected on the oil price, and made a fast rally to $130 […]
Prediction : Major Panic and Crash Ahead
2022 TOP: Prosperous Year 2023 BEAR BEGIN: Market Started Heading South 2024/2025/2026 BEAR CRASH: Major Panic, Market Price Plummetted, Business Stagnated, Despair, Unemployment
POI (O: unknown) Stock Performance Nov 2024
I have several stocks diversified over different industries in my portfolio although my diversification is very limited and should be called “focus investment”. Diversification works, achieving satisfactory results over the long term by reducing risks, as described in the book “The Intelligent Investor by Benjamin Graham”. He emphasizes the importance […]
Political Party vs. GDP per capita vs. Homelessness
Somehow intrigued by how people make decisions that are based on variables as conditions not a fixed value. I think that’s how it should be, however, thinking on the macro-scale instead of the micro-scale economically could bring more prosperity for individuals in my opinion. Prosperity states (CA, NY, etc) with […]
Crude Oil vs S&P 500
The price of Crude Oil and the S&P 500 seem to have a multifaceted relationship and interfere with each other in positive and negative impacts. That makes it difficult for investors to predict which direction to move, up or down. The nature of the Crude Oil price movement is just […]
2024 Election is A Decisive Factor To Change The Course Of The Market
If Trump were to win and cut the corporate tax rate to 15%, as he has suggested, from 21%, stocks and the US market (S&P500) would become undervalued substantially. The market would be more likely to continue to increase. (In theory, cutting the tax rate to 15%, which means companies […]
Alpha & Beta
What investor are you? This is a simple question, however, it is the most important question to ask before you even start investing in stocks. Many investors do not care about the style or type of investment, however, by defining what type of investor you should become and sticking with […]
I Said What King Solomon Said
Old friends reached out to me, and I said what King Solomon (Bible) said: “All hard work brings a profit, but mere talk leads only to poverty. The wealth of the wise is their crown, but the folly of fools yields folly”. “Those who do evil, by rejecting God’s […]
What To Expect, When Fed Start Cutting Interest Rates
Almost always a recession (grey area) occurs and the market plunges when the Fed begins cutting interest rates historically. However, the mechanism of that is intended to boost the economy. As a result of cutting interest rates, the mortgage rate goes lower and businesses can borrow more money at cheaper […]
Good Technical Analysis
1. Fibonacci Retracement • Overview: Based on the Fibonacci sequence, this theory involves drawing horizontal lines on a chart at key Fibonacci levels (23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, and 100%) to identify potential levels of support and resistance. • Application: Traders use Fibonacci retracement levels to predict where the price might […]
Market Theories and Analysis
Several theories and analysis have been developed over the years to predict stock market movements. These theories range from fundamental analysis to technical analysis and quantitative models. Here are some of the most popular stock market prediction theories: 1. Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) • Overview: Proposed by Eugene Fama, the […]
Benner’s Cycle 100 Years Of Market Prediction
The Benner Cycle is a theory developed by Samuel Benner in the late 19th century that predicts cycles of economic activity, specifically in commodity prices and financial markets. Benner was a farmer who turned to analyzing economic patterns after experiencing the effects of economic booms and busts in agriculture. His […]