Overall the market is still warm. I'm actively following several stocks now.
One of them is revealed with details here. This stock was bought at $5.5 in August 2024 and is currently quoted at $10.58. This was kept secret until yesterday and now the secret is out (POI (Secret) Stock Is Revealed)
The second is an Indian Technologies stock I bought at $3.50 on 2/6/2025. It is currently a secret, but it is currently being quoted at almost $4.50 and is expected to rise 10 times or more in a year or two if obediently follows my theory in a market condition like this. We'll see. The previous favorite stock was BDCO jumped from 0.25 to $8.80 in 18 months three years ago (BDCO Buyback At The Correction In July 2023, And Now).
If you pick a great stock like Apple and Microsft, it takes 12-15 years to multiply by the factor of 10.
The recession indicator attached here (T10Y2Y) historically indicated very accurate results. Whenever the difference between the 10-Year Treasury and 2-Year Treasury becomes 0, it goes back up and putting the U.S. economy into recession for a year to two since 1980 (yellow line), actually 1933 (not shown).
However, not this time. It hit the bottom at -1.06 in June 2023 and reversed without a recession, which is very unusual. Besides, the last recession lasted only two months during COVID-19 in 2020. This makes me think that the economy has been very strong and building up momentum since 2009 and has been nonstop for 16 years.
What I am thinking...the current warm market becomes much hotter to the point of extreme before it realizes the market has gone way too far from normality or equilibrium. It would take a couple of years for people to be convinced that the market is crazy. Remember, 2029 is going to be exactly 100 years from the top before the great depression occurred. If history repeats itself, we are going to have the hottest market before it pops.
* The market is not the one crazy, people behind the market are.