The Cycle of Abundance and Scarcity
- Leviticus 25:1-7 – The Sabbath Year: Land was to rest every 7th year, showing trust in God’s provision.
- Leviticus 25:8-22 – The Jubilee Year (every 50 years): Debts were forgiven, land returned to original owners, and economic reset occurred.
Historical Jubilee Years (every 25 years)
These numbers do not seem to align with the stock market as far as I can tell besides 2,000 which is known as the Dot.com bubble. However, if I shift numbers a little and start counting from 1933, we can see something interesting! With the repeated addition of 25 years from 1933, that is the following year after the bottom of the great depression (1929-1932), we can find these numbers:
Starting 1933 + 25 years = 1958
1958+ 25 years = 1983
1983+ 25 years = 2008
2008+ 25 years = 2032
As shown in the grey-shaded area in the chart below, these years experienced severe depression and recession every time. In particular, 2008 was known to be a global financial disaster that put the U.S. economy in panic and disaster and killed many businesses.
Now let's assume that 2032 is going to be the year having the next big recession. Convincingly, 2032 is exactly 100 years (50 years x 2) from the 1932 great depression, which is another convincing factor. We still have 7 years to go. I think that It is a long way to get to the year without having any recession at all since we never had a recession since 2008 (although we had a quick very short recession in March 2020 due to COVID-19, however, It was difficult to regard it as a recession since It was a sudden market drop regardless of the strong market condition). Now I can assume with a high probability that there should be another recession before, the question is "When would that be?"
The Bible states that 7 years is a prosperity and hardship cycle. 7 years is also a critical cycle number addressed in the Bible, which makes me think that, in order to have a big drop or recession in 2032, we should be able to see at least one recession before. 2025 is, with a high probability, the year to see a bloodbath in the market. 2025 is a Jublie year and 7 years before the expected 2032 recession. Additionally, the most reliable indicator for a recession, T10Y2Y is bouncing very fast from 0 and indicating a recession this year (S&P 500 Predicted To Fall Further Than $5,580).
<S&P 500 Index - 90 Year Historical Chart>
