Accurately predicting recessions is a complex task, and no single indicator can provide a foolproof forecast. However, several indicators are considered reliable for signaling potential recessions in the U.S. economy. Here are some of the most accurate and commonly watched indicators:1. Yield Curve Inversion: Description: The yield curve plots interest […]
Market
The Relationship Between Interest Rate and Market Price
The relationship between U.S. interest rates and market prices is complex and multifaceted, affecting various aspects of the economy and financial markets. Here’s an in-depth look at how changes in U.S. interest rates can influence market prices: 1. Stock Market Prices: Valuation: -Lower interest rates generally lead to higher stock […]
The Alchemy of Finance
The Alchemy of Money, written by billionaire investor George Soros, explores his unique perspective on financial markets and the underlying factors that drive them. It’s not a traditional investment guide, but rather a philosophical and reflective work that challenges conventional economic theories and offers insights into the dynamic nature of […]
Recession Is Right Around The Corner
One of the well-used recension detection leading indicators is the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity. In the past, the indicator has been indicating when the next recission takes place very accurately beforehand. This can be seen in the chart below. <The 10-2 Treasury Yield Spread is […]
OTC Market Ave Return vs. My OTC Selective Stock Return
My trading strategy is to pick a specific stock that gives me a particular signal to indicate whether the stock is about to go up or go down. Theoretically, when a stock finishes going down and bottoms out, it would more likely go up, that’s when I would like to […]
Money Is Made At The End Of Major Cycles
The most admirable trader, W.D. Gann established the Law Of Vibration in the early 1900′ and his books helped me to understand how the market works, by far the best, better than anyone else alive in this era. His philosophy taught me which direction to look in the crazy and […]
There Is Nothing In The Universe But Mathematical Points Of Force
Mathematics is a science, a language, an art, a way of thinking. Appearing in nature, art, music, architecture, history, science, literature, and the market. Its influence is present in every facet of the universe. ”Mathematical science, which is the only real science that the entire civilized world has agreed upon, […]
Recessions and Business Cycle
The United State has gone through 34 recessions since 1857. As you notice, there has been a significant change in the duration and frequency of recessions and expansions. Analyzing the pink area between 1857 to 1935, many random recessions took place, which does not show any pattern of recession occurrences. […]
SHORTING IS THE ANSWER
The final blow to the market is now obvious to be seen although it was difficult to be recognized if you were in the middle of the market heat in 2021. One of the final blows of the bubble was caused by the multiple distributions of cash, stimulus checks during […]
Supply and Demand with Natural Law
“Water seeks its own level” You can force the market price higher with a pump, but when you stop pumping it requires no force to cause it to return to its former level. Stocks and Commodities are the same. They can be forced above their natural level of values to […]